Senin, 08 Desember 2008

USDCAD




Interesting chart pattern on the USDCAD. Triple top with an ascending wedge. A triple top gives it a bearish feel but the pattern is not valid until it breaks lower support. The ascending wedge gives it a bullish overtone. Since we don't have volume to add to the clues, we can only use price action. Notice the buyers were not waiting to buy shown by the lower lows. Also the lower lows get closer together, so they are also not waiting as long to jump in. On the other hand, look how fast price jumped off the top resistance line, telling us all kinds of sellers came in, plus its a big super fat round number (1.3000).

Buy on a break over 1.3 with tight stops, it either goes like a f'n canon, or fakes out and reverses back into the channel.


On a break out, you could also put in a short stop order below the 1.3000 line to catch the fake out on its way back to the bottom of the channel.

This is the type of pattern I would use breakkouts on, not channel trading. The converting to USD might be over, then again it might not. Use price action to guide you. Don't enter at the middle of the channel, enter at the top or bottom, this allows you to use tight stops, control risk, and have an edge.

Selasa, 02 Desember 2008

Trading from work

There is a poll on the right side of the blog, "Do you trade from work?"
Do you? Take the poll.

If we take these results, we can see that 54% of the responders want or actually do access there trading account from work. Here is what I'm getting at; Does anyone want to see a video of how you can do this without the IT department knowing what your doing? There is nothing illegal here. You just have to know how technology works to be able to avoid the "tracking logs". Make no mistake, you will be a part of the log, but it wont show up that you are using TWS or WebTrader, or continually accessing your brokers web page.

You may be think, he is using a proxy server. No, that's not it, but close. So, do I have your attention? Take the poll first, then leave a comment.

Currently, this is what the poll looks like:

Good Reading and Video

In my opinion, support and resistance with momentum are the way to trade. It involves the alignment of the trend on multiple time frames. You may have heard this before and it is difficult to put it to use. But it is like anything else, you need to practice. Practice makes you remember the rules. We have all heard that we should find something we are comfortable with and stick to it with discipline. If this is your style, all you need to do is pick the smallest time frame from which you want to trade. Use three time frames. I like to use the weekly, daily, and hourly to pick where I will enter.
The following video by Brian Shannon will help you understand this concept. If you want more reading, buy his book. He doesn't over complicate things, he makes it gumby pokey easy to understand. In case you don't know this because you've been living under a rock for 2 years, Shannon was the head of training at MarketWise for some time. They are a very good trading training firm in the US. Previously I have mention Sam Seidens work who also works for them. Shannon is a full time trader now. Buy his book. It is good for any type of trading, even forex. (If you use this link, I actually get paid a dollar or two).

In addition to this, if your interested in forex, read this PDF. It explains things pretty well at a high level. The "rules" and description of discipline and money management are honest, not a bullshit bunch of crap that is usually written.
One more thing before the video. Read this post to understand more about support and resistance. It explains the Gap & VWAP. The VWAP is the volume weighted average price.

The video below is timeless. I watched it three times to memorize the info. If you can memorize it, you will do better. Think of your job, and how you just "know" what to do day in and day out. You know it becuase you have done it so many times. Use a demo account, that will help memorize the info and required action. Again, watch the video a few times.





Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...