Tampilkan postingan dengan label Bovespa. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label Bovespa. Tampilkan semua postingan

Minggu, 23 Oktober 2011

Comparative performance of Sensex and global indices

One keeps reading and hearing that the Sensex has been one of the worst performers among global stock indices over the past one year. So I decided to take a look at some of the leading global indices (in blue) to check whether the Sensex (in green) has been an underperformer or not.

Here is what I found:-

S&P 500 vs. Sensex

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The S&P 500 index has not only outperformed the Sensex by a wide margin, but has eked out a 5% gain over the past year despite the economic slow down in the USA.

FTSE 100 vs. Sensex

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The UK economy is in a bad shape with growth almost non-existent. Still, the FTSE 100 has outperformed the Sensex right through the past year – despite losing 5%.

DAX vs. Sensex

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The German economy is stronger than the UK’s, but the DAX has lost 10% over the past year. Despite the steep fall in Aug ‘11, it managed to outperform the Sensex.

Bovespa vs. Sensex

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India is no match for Brazil on the soccer field, but the Sensex has managed to outperform the Bovespa by more than 5% over the past year.

MERVAL vs. Sensex

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The Argentine index has not gained during the past year, but has outperformed the Sensex by a wide margin.

Hang Seng vs. Sensex

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Hang Seng is the only other major global index that has underperformed the Sensex, thanks to its steep fall over the last two months.

Jakarta Composite vs. Sensex

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The Indonesian index has been one of the best performers in Asia, though it has made zero gains during the past year. It has significantly outperformed the Sensex.

KLCI vs. Sensex

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The Malaysian index outperformed the Sensex throughout the past year, though it has lost about 3%.

The Sensex has indeed been an underperformer against major global indices – with the exception of the Bovespa and the Hang Seng. India’s economy is still growing in spite of the recent slow down due to high interest rates. When the turnaround comes, the index is likely to become an outperformer.

Sabtu, 06 Agustus 2011

Global indices: crack under bear attack

It wasn’t just the Indian market that suffered at the hands of the bears. Global indices cracked as well, even the few that have been showing remarkable resilience so far.

Our trouble-shooting Finance Minister was quick to state that Indian markets were only feeling the effect of a global sell-off, and there was no reason to panic. Those are mere words to shore up our falling market.

The time for soothing words is long over. It is time for action. Tough policy decisions – however unpopular – need to be taken and implemented. Soon. Bears are about to take complete control.

Here are the 6 months closing chart patterns of a few global market indices:

Shanghai Composite China

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The Shanghai Composite index has been trading sideways ever since it dropped below the 200 day EMA back in Apr ‘10. It has once again dropped below all three EMAs. Last Friday’s fall has no special significance for a index already struggling to keep the bears away.

Australia All Ordinaries

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The Australia All Ordinaries index has been in a down trend since Apr ‘11. The ‘death cross’ of the 50 day EMA below the 200 day EMA in Jun ‘11 confirmed a bear market. Friday’s panic selling has pushed the index deeper into bear territory.

DAX Germany

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Except for a few days in Mar ‘11, the DAX index had been in a bull market – trading above a rising 200 day EMA - till Jul ‘11. The index slipped below the 7000 level and the 200 day EMA on Mon. Aug 1 ‘11, and continued to fall through the past week. The ‘death cross’ will confirm a bear market.

Madrid General Spain

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The Madrid General index has been in a bear market since May ‘11, making a pattern of lower tops and lower bottoms. Things were bad. They have just turned worse.

IBOVESPA Brazil

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The IBOVESPA index has been trending down in a bear market since Apr ‘11. Last week’s selling has pushed the index below a downward sloping channel.

MERVAL Argentina

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The Argentine MERVAL index had been trading with a slight downward bias, but stayed above a rising 200 day EMA till Jul ‘11 (except for a few days in Jun ‘11). Friday’s huge drop has changed the equation in favour of the bears.

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